(Toronto, ON) – A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 42% (-1) to the Conservatives 39% (+2).

The rolling survey, conducted from April 20 to April 22, 2025, used interactive voice response technology to poll 1,500 Canadian voters. The results have a margin of error of +/- 2.53%, 19 times out of 20.

Liaison Strategies, a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), was the most accurate polling firm in the 2025 Ontario Provincial Election.

David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies, said the following:

The Conservatives have narrowed the national race today, gaining two points at the expense of both the Liberals—now at 42% (-1)—and the NDP, who dip to 9% (-1).

Time is running out, and the Conservatives are still contending with regional numbers that keep a minority government out of reach.

The Liberals continue to lead in Atlantic Canada (+7), Quebec (+15, with the Conservatives and Bloc Québécois tied at 24% for second), Ontario (+8), and British Columbia (+1).

Tomorrow’s numbers might show a tighter race - or just as easily, Conservative gains could fade, widening the Liberal lead once again.

We’ll know the final outcome soon enough, but there are still a few more days of tracking to go.