October 5, 2026 (Toronto, ON) - A new Liaison Strategies Mississauga Tracker survey finds Bonnie Crombie at 30%, Mayor Carolyn Parrish at 29%, and Alvin Tedjo at 26% among decided and leaning voters. Tedjo has more than doubled his support since August, bringing the three candidates within four points of one another. Dipika Damerla has 11%, while 4% would vote for someone else.
Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Mississauga residents from October 2 to October 4, 2026, using Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology. Participants were reached through random digit dialling (RDD) across both landline and cellular phone networks. The resulting data was weighted to match targets based on the 2021 Census. For the total sample, the margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, and is higher for subsamples, including decided and leaning voters. Results may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Liaison Strategies is one of the most accurate polling firms in Canada. It ranked #1 in accuracy in the 2025 Ontario election and #2 nationally in the 2025 federal election. Liaison is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council.
David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies, said:
"Bonnie Crombie leads incumbent mayor Carolyn Parrish with Tedjo closing some gap. In August, he was at 12%, well behind two candidates tied at 35%. He is now at 26%, just four points behind Crombie and three behind Parrish. “Tedjo’s gains coincide with an increase in his earned media coverage since August, when Crombie dominated the coverage. He is attracting more attention, and the race is becoming more competitive.”"
"On the initial ballot question, before leaners are included, Crombie has 23%, Parrish 22%, Tedjo 18%, Damerla 8%, and someone else 3%. Twenty-six per cent are undecided, the same share as in August. The contest has tightened without shrinking that initial pool of undecided voters."
"Parrish's approval has barely budged while the race around her has changed. Thirty-eight per cent approve of her performance, 42% disapprove, and 20% are unsure, exactly the same topline numbers as in August. Her lower vote share cannot simply be explained by a fresh drop in job approval."
"The city's direction is a tougher result for the incumbent. Forty-eight per cent say Mississauga is moving in the wrong direction, compared with 28% who say it is moving in the right direction and 23% who are unsure. In August, those figures were 46%, 32%, and 22%. The gap between wrong direction and right direction has widened from 14 points to 20."
"Even among respondents who initially choose Parrish, only 43% say the city is moving in the right direction, while 39% say it is moving in the wrong direction. Seventy-eight per cent of that same group approve of her performance. Support for Parrish is not necessarily a vote of confidence in everything happening in Mississauga."
"Tedjo's supporters are more clearly dissatisfied with the incumbent: 64% disapprove of Parrish and 19% approve. Among Crombie supporters, 49% disapprove and 38% approve. Both candidates are competing with Parrish, but their supporters are not equally negative about her record."
"Affordability has pulled away from the other issues. One-quarter of residents now name it as Mississauga's most important issue, up from 19% in August. Housing and taxes are each at 15%, followed by crime and traffic at 12% each, transit at 8%, and homelessness at 5%. The cost of living is becoming a more prominent part of this race."
"That concern crosses candidate lines. Affordability is the top issue for 27% of Crombie supporters, 25% of Parrish supporters, 25% of Damerla supporters, and 23% of Tedjo supporters. It is also first among undecided respondents, at 25%. This is a shared pressure on residents, not an issue confined to one candidate's supporters."
"The age results also resist a simple two-candidate story. Among decided and leaning voters aged 18 to 34, Tedjo has 30%, with Crombie and Parrish each at 28%. Among those 65 and older, Crombie has 29%, Tedjo 28%, and Parrish 26%. Those smaller samples carry greater uncertainty, but Tedjo's support is not confined to young voters."
"August looked like a contest between the current mayor and a former mayor. This survey gives that picture a third contender with Parrish remaining competitive, and Crombie remaining in the lead."
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Detailed Poll Report:
2026.10.05 Mississauga Tracker Charts
Detailed Tables:
About Liaison Strategies
Liaison Strategies is a national public opinion research firm. With 13 years of experience in Canadian polling, David Valentin, principal, has fielded hundreds of projects at the municipal, provincial and federal levels and appeared across Canadian media to discuss insights. Liaison is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), Canada's voice of the research, analytics, and insights profession both domestically and globally.
About Liaison Strategies
Liaison is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), Canada’s voice of the research, analytics, and insights profession both domestically and globally.
