June 15, 2023 (Toronto, ON) – A new Liaison Strategies poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) shows Olivia Chow's support dipping 4 points as Josh Matlow surges to a second place tie with Mark Saunders.

Conducted from June 12-13, 2023, using interactive voice response technology, the poll surveyed 1,156 Toronto voters. The margin of error for the poll stands at +/- 3.01%, 19 times out of 20.

"Olivia Chow has dipped four points while Josh Matlow has surged to a second place tie with Mark Saunders," said David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies.
"But despite the dip, Chow still has a 14 point lead and remains the one to beat."

"We saw from our earlier poll this week that Chow has the most committed supporters (56% strong support) while Matlow has the least committed (15% strong support) so it's important to keep that in mind when we consider who could challenge Chow in the dying days of this campaign."

"The undecided rate in this poll is 13% - and most of those points (plus Chow's) have gone to Matlow, Saunders and Bailao who are all up in this survey."

"It's always important to remember that trend lines are more significant than any individual snapshot. The trend this election has been for Chow to lead and for candidates to go into and out of second place. Voters are paying more attention now and over 130,000 ballots have already been cast. Some tightening in the final days is not surprising."

Key Findings from the Liaison Survey among all voters (including undecided) compared to the last poll:

26% Chow (-2)
14% Matlow (+4)
14% Saunders (+2)
13% Undecided (-5)
9% Bailao (+1)
7% Hunter (no change)
7% Furey (no change)
5% Someone Else (+1)
4% Bradford (-1)
0% Perruzza (no change)

Key Findings from the Liaison Survey among Decided Voters Only (compared to last week):

30% Chow (-4)
16% Saunders (+1)
16% Matlow (+4)
11% Bailao (+1)
8% Hunter (-1)
8% Furey (-1)
5% Bradford (-1)
5% Someone Else (no change)
0% Perruzza (no change)

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