(Toronto, ON) – A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 43% (+1) with the Conservatives at 38% (No Change).

The rolling survey, conducted from March 28 to March 30, 2025, used interactive voice response technology to poll 1,500 Canadian voters. The results have a margin of error of +/- 2.53%, 19 times out of 20.

Liaison Strategies, a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), was the most accurate polling firm in the 2025 Ontario Provincial Election.

“The Liberals have inched up, turning a 4-point lead into a 5-point lead,” said David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies. “While that shift isn’t statistically significant given the survey’s margin of error, there are a couple of interesting takeaways in today’s tracking.”

“The first is that the NDP is once again holding at 7%. Last night wasn’t a strong one for them, so I was surprised to see them maintain that number—until I realized Friday was a particularly good day in their tracking. Today’s release covers Friday through Sunday, meaning tomorrow’s update will drop Friday’s data and add Monday’s. The NDP will need another solid night just to hold steady.”

“Regionally, things remain largely unchanged. The Liberals continue to lead in Atlantic Canada, Quebec, and Ontario. In British Columbia, they remain in a statistical tie with the Conservatives.”

"Yesterday, we hinted at a subregional survey release—today, we can reveal that the focus is Saskatoon, and the results are quite intriguing. I’ll be diving into the details in a separate post, which you can find here (or in your inbox if you're subscribed to our emails)."

"We’re now in week two of the campaign, and tomorrow marks President Trump’s so-called ‘Liberation Day.’ This will create a challenging media landscape for opposition parties, as Mr. Carney, in his role as Prime Minister, will have the platform to announce retaliatory tariffs and other measures. Expect at least 2-3 days this week to be dominated by tariff coverage," concluded Valentin.