(Toronto, ON) – A new Liaison Strategies poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) finds the Ontario PCs leading the Ontario Liberals, 46% to 36%, while the Ontario NDP find themselves squeezed out at 13%
Conducted from May 5-9, 2025, using interactive voice response technology, the Liaison poll surveyed 1,000 Ontario voters. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.09%, 19 times out of 20.
Liaison Strategies, a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), was the most accurate polling firm in the 2025 Ontario Provincial Election. In the most recent federal election, Liaison ranked as the second most accurate polling firm nationally, and was the top performer when factoring in regional results.
David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies, said the following:
The Ontario PCs are leading province-wide, but the Ontario Liberals hold the advantage in Northern Ontario and the City of Toronto. The PCs hold sizeable leads in southwestern Ontario (55% support), southcentral Ontario (47% support), eastern Ontario (48% support), and the 905 (48% support).
The ONDP sits at 13%, with its strongest support in Northern Ontario (19%) and Toronto (17%). This may reflect federal election momentum—but if it's more than that, it could mark the start of deeper polarization and a shift in Ontario's political landscape.
Despite the PC lead, a majority of Ontarians—55%—believe the province is heading in the wrong direction. Their top concerns are healthcare (31%), cost of living (30%), and relations with the U.S. (19%). Tomorrow’s budget will reveal whether the government is addressing those priorities.
As for the leaders, Doug Ford, Bonnie Crombie, and Marit Stiles all post a net favourability of +3. But Ford remains far better known than Crombie, who in turn is more familiar to voters than Stiles. Green Party leader Mike Schreiner leads with a net +4 but has the lowest name recognition of the group.
Among Decided & Leaning Voters
Ontario PC - 46%
Ontario NDP - 13%
Ontario Liberal - 36%
Ontario Greens - 2%
Other - 3%
À propos de Stratégies Liaison
provincial et fédéral et est apparu dans les médias canadiens pour discuter de ses observations.
Liaison est membre du Conseil de recherche et d’intelligence marketing canadien, le porte-parole canadien des professionnels de la recherche, de l’analyse et de l’information, tant au Canada qu’à l’étranger.
À propos du Conseil national de la presse et des médias ethniques du Canada (CNPMEC)
Il représente la presse ethnique du Canada auprès des gouvernements provinciaux et fédéral et constitue la principale association industrielle pour les journaux, les chaînes de télévision, les stations de radio et les sites Internet de langue non officielle du Canada.
